Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.004317 0.004541 0.004771 0.005026 0.005300 0.005587 0.005909
2025-10-12 0.003975 0.004310 0.004670 0.005086 0.005557 0.006073 0.006688
2025-10-19 0.003708 0.004101 0.004535 0.005052 0.005656 0.006344 0.007193
2025-10-26 0.003508 0.003941 0.004429 0.005026 0.005741 0.006581 0.007652
2025-11-02 0.003338 0.003798 0.004328 0.004988 0.005798 0.006773 0.008054
2025-11-09 0.003260 0.003756 0.004336 0.005075 0.006002 0.007146 0.008695
2025-11-16 0.003128 0.003640 0.004248 0.005034 0.006039 0.007307 0.009066
2025-11-23 0.003028 0.003556 0.004191 0.005026 0.006113 0.007512 0.009501
2025-11-30 0.002906 0.003439 0.004088 0.004951 0.006093 0.007589 0.009761
2025-12-07 0.002801 0.003338 0.004000 0.004890 0.006086 0.007678 0.010038
2025-12-14 0.002727 0.003274 0.003954 0.004881 0.006144 0.007856 0.010450
2025-12-21 0.002600 0.003137 0.003811 0.004736 0.006009 0.007757 0.010446
2025-12-28 0.002549 0.003097 0.003791 0.004757 0.006106 0.007991 0.010956
2026-01-04 0.002515 0.003079 0.003799 0.004814 0.006255 0.008305 0.011610
2026-01-11 0.002449 0.003015 0.003744 0.004783 0.006274 0.008430 0.011971
2026-01-18 0.002390 0.002958 0.003696 0.004758 0.006302 0.008566 0.012360
2026-01-25 0.002330 0.002899 0.003643 0.004723 0.006312 0.008674 0.012705
2026-02-01 0.002316 0.002899 0.003671 0.004803 0.006494 0.009055 0.013534
2026-02-08 0.002260 0.002842 0.003618 0.004766 0.006497 0.009154 0.013884
2026-02-15 0.002218 0.002803 0.003587 0.004758 0.006544 0.009324 0.014370
2026-02-22 0.002158 0.002736 0.003516 0.004689 0.006493 0.009332 0.014563
2026-03-01 0.002104 0.002677 0.003455 0.004633 0.006459 0.009366 0.014804
2026-03-08 0.002068 0.002643 0.003428 0.004625 0.006500 0.009525 0.015288